With the release of the Draft Doctors very own Mock Draft Simulator over the weekend, we can start to get a good guide as to where players are being drafted. Where they are being drafted is called their ADP, or Average Draft Position. This helps drafters draft players they like later, and therefore at a better value. These players are going so late they’re practically FREE and worthy of being targeted.
1. ORAZIO FANTASIA (F) – ADP 169
There’s no doubt Fantasia has frustrated fantasy footy owners. Often injured, the Essendon forward can score points. Coming in at his lowest average in years, Fantasia looks value if we compare him to where he was coming into drafts 12 months ago with an 83 average. Certainly worthy of a later pick to round out your forward line.
2. MAJAK DAW (D) – ADP 204
Things had seemingly clicked for Daw at the end of 2018 after a long journey of finding his best spot in the AFL. He punched out some nice scores as a forward and as an intercepting defender. After not playing senior footy in 2019, Daw looks in good nick at North training, where there is certainly a spot as a key defender after the retirement of Scott Thompson. It’s worth a late stash to see if he can return to his previous form.
3. AARON NAUGHTON (F) – ADP 232
After a great debut season as a defender in 2018, Bevo went Bevo and threw his young tall to the forward line. Naughton didn’t disappoint, booting 30 goals, clunking marks and looking the goods. Fast forward to 2020 and the Dogs have brought in Josh Bruce and have a top line midfield ready to go. Hopefully the addition of Bruce means defenders don’t key in on Naughton and he gets more 1 on 1 opportunity and space. He’s been talked up as a lead out forward, which would mean some marks on the lead and easier touches.
4. TRENT COTCHIN (M) – ADP 204
I know 2019 wasn’t his best season, but to be drafted after 200 is just plain disrespectful. The usual reliable Cotchin battled injury to lead the Tigers to another flag, whilst his fantasy scores suffered. A year removed from a respectable 89 average, expect Cotchin to bounce back. He still banged out a couple of tons, still looks to have a juicy role, still has lustrous hair. Round out your midfield with confidence.
5. JOSH J KENNEDY (F) – ADP 204
This video is all I need. No, to be fair, he’s been injured as it gets and is an up and down scorer. The Eagles however, look better with Tim Kelly in the midfield and a fittish Nic Naitanui. Will JJK be a forward line saviour? I don’t know for sure, but he’s a gun and with matches against St Kilda, Freo, Melbourne, Gold Coast and Sydney in the first nine rounds, I’m willing to take a punt on the former great.
6. MATTHEW KREUZER (R) – ADP 172
Last year’s 7th highest averaging ruckman is currently the *checks notes* 17th ruck eligible player off the board. I know he misses games but Kreuzer flat out scores when he plays. A 90+ average in the 18th round? Sign me up.
7. LUKE DUNSTAN (M) – ADP 187
Has the feel of a fringe player, but Dunstan scores when he’s on the park. From round 8 onward he averaged a tick over 96 and is best suited to an inside role. Whether he gets squeezed for the likes of Hunter Clark/Zac Jones/Dan Han remains to be seen, but it’s the 19th round and the Saints have more questions about their make up than perhaps any team.
Test all these picks out and more on the awesome Mock Draft Simulator over at: https://mock.thedraftdoctors.com.au/home
Also available this year is the all new Draft Kit, featuring some amount of player profiles I can’t calculate: https://thedraftdoctors.com.au/2020/01/29/the-draft-doctors-2020-draft-kit/
Practice will let you see what strategies work for you and help you smash your leaguemates on draft day!