Mock Draft szn is well underway on our Mock Draft Simulator tool, and fantasy coaches are testing out all different theories and strategies to prepare for their upcoming drafts. Here are 5 players that are undervalued according to their current average draft position.
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- Scott Pendlebury (M) ADP 60
A fantasy stalwart for many moons, old man Pendlebury is getting passed over, perhaps further down than the list than he’s been before. Currently the 26th pure mid off the board, Pendlebury screams value as your M3 when he’s been a consistent 100 averager in the AFL Fantasy scoring setup. With Treloar and Phllips out, a stacked backline that doesn’t need him and all the scoring history you could want, I’d be very comfortable taking Pendlebury a fraction earlier and locking up a bargain.
2.. Connor Rozee (F) ADP 76
Currently the 18th FWD eligible player off the board, all the signs are there for Rozee to break out and return massive value. 3rd year, more mid time and even resting forward he has the tricks to score – who can forget his 5 goal haul in his third game? The recruitment of Orazio Fantasia to Port should help push Rozee into the middle – where Port want their match winners. How much time he spends there is anyone’s guess, but it certainly wouldn’t surprise coaches if he’s a top ten forward at the end of the year.
3. Handsome Tom (F) ADP 199
It’s fair to say Tom Lynch’s Richmond career has gotten off to a flyer in terms of winning premierships, though it hasn’t translated into fantasy scores. At the peak of his powers at the Suns, Lynch was able to average 86 AF points per game, and whilst he may not hit those heights, he can rise to borderline top 20 FWD status in my opinion. His first season at the Tigers was on the back of no preseason, and it showed as he struggled through the first two-thirds of the season before hitting his straps on the run to the flag, averaging 79 over the last ten matches. 2020 was an interesting one as many key forwards struggled. The Richmond team, despite winning the flag, were unable to field their best 22 for the bulk of the home and away season and battled to a third place home and away finish. They did finish 2019 in third also, but in 2020 won four fewer games. If Richmond and Lynch can stay relatively injury free and play their best footy, he could be a massive value.
4. Touk Miller (M) ADP 91
Coming off the back of a year where he averaged a BCV 100, Touk Miller is going totally unnoticed in drafts so far. And to be fair, he’s established that brand by being a tagger and a forward and a forward tagger in years past. But he’s been released. He was awesome. We’re talking about a guy in his mid-20s, with over 100 games experience, who can rack up the pill and lay a heap of tackles, all whilst never getting tagged going in the tenth round. Matt Rowell’s games played/missed didn’t affect Miller’s CBA attendance, rather David Swallow’s. Lock up Miller as an M4/5 and enjoy.
5. Luke McDonald (D) ADP 53
I’ll be the first to say, a few of the options above aren’t upside picks. That’s kind of the point – the unsexy, workman, do your job type guys often slide. The same can’t be said for McDonald, who, after looking like a promising type in 2017, has been relatively meh up until lately. His BCV adjusted second half in 2020 (last ten games, to be precise) yielded a return of 109 AF ppg. Massive. He’s currently the 14th defender off the board, but if he can continue that second half form into 2021 he’ll be a top 5 defender and return value in spades. Of course, we’ve seen him wandering the waiver wire as well, so the floor is real.
6. Cam Rayner (F) ADP 216
It’s been an interesting time at Brisbane for Rayner. In his first year he looked the goods, banging out a couple of fantasy tons. Despite lacking for fitness, it seemed hard to believe he wouldn’t be a quality option. Fast forward 12 months and the Lions added Lachie Neale and Jarryd Lyons and Rayner has seen his mid time dry up. And mid time hasn’t come up, either. The health of the first choice Lions midfield and wingers over the last two years has been amazing. Neale, Zorko, Lyons, McCluggage and Robinson have missed a combined 3 home and away matches in that time. Rayner has shown ability to score in fantasy in a variety of ways and he should be locked into a half forward role again this year. I hope he can begin to push through the midfield a bit more as the Lions haven’t been a super fantasy friendly team aside from the top end stars. He’s currently the 5th mid option through the middle, hopefully Zorko can spend more time forward and we can see some more Rayner, as he’s essentially free in drafts.