In Dozen Deals we use BUY, SELL, HOLD, ADD, or DROP. This is based on a 10 team 22 player roster. BUY, SELL, HOLD, and DROP will apply to players that are generally owned, while ADD will cover players you may find on the waiver wire or as a free agent.
Have you woken up to a shiny new label sitting next to one of your premium midfielders? Maybe you snagged Isaac smith as a dependable M7 and are contemplating having him bolster your forward line, or did Bailey Smith grow wings and become even more useful than simply being the highest averaging player in the game? DPP additions add great flexibility to your side, but it’s important to have perspective; they only help if you have the depth in a player’s original position to move them. Say for example, Isaac smith is your M7 with an average of 84.5. If your bench midfielder is averaging 80, and you F5 is averaging 70, that’s an easy switch. You gain 14 points by moving Smith forward and only lose 4 by having to field your M8. It becomes more complex if you have an M8 averaging 70; the same as your F5. In that scenario, what the DPP will do is add greater flexibility to your side, rather than pure point scoring ability. It will let you study the match ups and essentially decide whether you will be better off playing your M8 or F5 on the field.
The same thinking applies if you have the Bont or Bailey Smith…the flexibility is awesome, but don’t move these guys forward just because you can. Make sure it will see an overall benefit to your team before you make the move.
The second benefit of a DPP is trade capitol. Players like Bont and Isaac smith have now shot up in value overnight. Where they were the 28th and 62nd ranked midfielders respectively, they are now the 6th and 17th ranked forwards. An improvement in anyone’s language. Make sure you prioritise your own team first. If they offer a massive boost to your forward line, keep them. But if you’d be playing them as midfielders anyway, you might be able to get an improved mid only player in return for bolstering an opponent’s forward stocks.
As always, happy trading and good luck during the bye round carnage!
Buy: Cam Guthrie
He’s back! Hitting a season high 126 (AF and supercoach) and averaging 105 from his last 6, the big hairy cat is getting plenty of the ball all over the ground as the cats revert to their 2021 game style which actually saw them win home and away games. Aside from their ‘kick it to Tom Stewart at all costs’ rule, this has seen Guthrie roar back to prominence and even become someone you could put the big C in in a pinch.
Buy: Matt Crouch
Decent mids have been hard to find this year, largely because so many contested players have struggled to fill all the columns of the stat sheet (great analysis on the pod this week from Stevie Fizz). One affected player has been Matt Crouch, who I’ve previously had as a hold. Since then, he hasn’t cracked a ton and he’s been dropped. As a result, this waddler’s price has never been lower. Now to his upside … It’s actually not the first time he’s been dropped due to poor form. Last time was in 2019 when he spent 3 games in the magoos. He averaged 108 upon his return with 2 x 150+ point games. Could history repeat itself? If it does and he finds more of the ball on the outside, it will propel your side towards the top of the table in the last weeks of the season. Of course, he could also be dropped again and fail to fire another fantasy shot. It’s a bit of a hail Mary, so weigh up the Risk Vs Reward based on how your season is progressing!
Buy: Isaac Smith
Don’t worry too much that when Isaac Smith debuted, he used to wear an onion on his belt (which was the style at the time), this man can still go. With an average in the 80s (and high 70s SC), Smith’s form of last year where he averaged 93 as a forward has tapered off significantly, sending him spiralling towards JAG territory at a rate of knots. With DPP status, he now becomes not only relevant, but potentially a gettable solution to your forward troubles. He’s currently the 17th ranked forward, and has upside based on his scoring from last year. That’s well worth giving up a defender or 2 for if you can.
Sell: Isaac Heeney
Starting the season on fire, Heeney looked to be finally taking the fantasy world by storm. Then, as the season progressed, he gradually morphed from a Callum Mills clone, back into the Isaac Heeney we are more familiar with. On 25 at three quarter time, he somehow scrapes to a 70, saving us from an embarrassing loss, but in the back of our minds we know, a score of 40 is not far away. Make that another coach’s problem if you can get a decent return for him.
Sell: Liam Duggan
He’s had a knee niggle for the last few weeks, but because the inferior coast’s only other option appears to be a half-eaten sandwich, he’s had to play through. Duggan is generally pretty reliable, but until he gets a rest and is back to full fitness, a trade will get those pesky low scores off your books.
Hold: Daniel Rich
Who tags a defender? GWS were taking the piss on the weekend, letting Berry somehow dominate the middle of the ground, while restricting poor Daniel Rich to one of his lowest ever scores. Luckily, it didn’t help them win, and it’s a tactic I wouldn’t expect to be repeated too often. It’s also unusual that a team plays two to three specialist taggers in de Boer and Ash/Perryman. Forgive him this week, Rich should be fine.
Hold: Tom Green
In the first 5 rounds of the year, Tom Green surpassed all expectations, averaging 105.8 AF and a crazy 124.8 SC. Since then, he’s come crashing back to earth, averaging 82 AF and 94 SC in the last 6 rounds. While not amazing, his scores are still fieldable, especially given he was probably drafted as an M6 or M7. Wait a few games to see how the magnets get thrown around when Taranto and Whitfield are back before looking for a trade.
Add: Jarrod Berry
To say he’s been underwhelming would be an understatement. But even with an average of 75, a score of 133 is too good to overlook. He’s shown glimpses of scoring ability in the past, he really just needs the role. Jump on and hope he holds his spot in the middle for a few more games.
Add: Tom Atkins
If you’d have talked to me about Tom Atkins in any other year, I would have had to google him to figure out who the heck you were talking about. This year however, he certainly is fantasy relevant, Averaging 82 over the last 6 rounds. Now we have established that Rowell is chugging around like a 1994 Corolla (which is clearly not good enough for a would-be premium in our midfield), but I ask you, what’s wrong with a Corolla for your D5-D7? It’s reliable, starts every time and gets you where you need to go. Yeah, he won’t get you there in style, but Atkins will almost always get you that 70 you need in a tight game.
Add: Ben Ainsworth
If you missed the boat on Dylan Moore, then Ben Ainsworth might be worth a crack. He has always held a lot of promise in previous years, with many in seasons past taking the punt on Ainsworth, only for his comet to burn out, leaving an average in your forward line no bigger than a chihuahua’s head. While he’s had some inconsistent scores, big Ben is starting to put some decent form together. He averages 74.4 AF in his last 7 (80.9 SC). Without that shocking round nine score, that jumps up to 81 AF and 88.8 SC. Certainly worth a crack to fill a spot left by an underperforming player who has a bye.
Drop: Darcy Byrne-Jones
While maybe a tad disappointing, DBJ hasn’t had a terrible season, averaging 78 in both formats. That makes him a solid enough D5 for a lot of teams. With the bye rounds here, he’s exactly the kind of player I’d look at dropping to the waiver wire in search of extra points on field. Yes, you lose 3 points or so by picking up Tom Atkins but losing 70 with a doughnut could cost you an otherwise winnable bye round matchup. Of course, if you’re fielding a full team, have an opponent with more zeroes than you, or are in a league with bye rounds turned off, keep him. But if you’re fielding zeros, dropping DBJ could be a move that pays off.
Drop: Matt Rowell
Rowell seemed for all the world to have realised his potential, looking like the Rolls Royce in the superior coast’s midfield after a stellar 117 in round 1. Since then, he’s looked more like a 1994 Corolla, chugging around the field on half a cylinder for an average of 66 in the last 10 weeks. I still have no doubt he’ll be an absolute jet in the future (hold tight keeper owners) but for this season, cut and run.